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Dr Andrew Black
Associate Investigator
The University of Adelaide
I am a Lecture in Applied Mathematics at the University of Adelaide. My main research is in stochastic modelling applied to problems in biology.
Research Interests:
Applied probability
epidemiology
evolution
inference
Publications
Invited talks, refereed proceedings and other conference outputs
Black, A. J.
(2016). Characterising pandemic impact from data collected during first few hundred studies.
The European Conference on Mathematical and Theoretical Biology .
Journal Articles
Alahmadi, A., Belet S., Black A. J., Cromer D., Flegg J. A., House T., et al.
(2020). Influencing public health policy with data-informed mathematical models of infectious diseases: Recent developments and new challenges.
Epidemics. 32, 100393. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100393
Moss, R., Wood J., Brown D., Shearer F. M., Black A. J., Glass K., et al.
(2020). Coronavirus Disease Model to Inform Transmission-Reducing Measures and Health System Preparedness, Australia.
Emerging Infectious Diseases. 26(12), 2844 - 2853. doi: 10.3201/eid2612.202530
Black, A. J., Bourrat P., & Rainey P. B.
(2020). Ecological scaffolding and the evolution of individuality.
Nature Ecology & Evolution. 4(3), 426 - 436. doi: 10.1038/s41559-019-1086-9
Walker, J. N., Black A. J., & Ross J. V.
(2019). Bayesian model discrimination for partially-observed epidemic models.
Mathematical Biosciences. 317, 108266. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2019.108266
Black, A. J.
(2019). Importance sampling for partially observed temporal epidemic models.
Statistics and Computing. 29(4), 617-630. doi: 10.1007/s11222-018-9827-1
Yan, A. W. C., Black A. J., McCaw J. M., Rebuli N. P., Ross J.V., Swan A. J., et al.
(2018). The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities.
Mathematical Biosciences. 303, 139 - 147. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.07.004
Black, A. J., Geard N., McCaw J. M., McVernon J., & Ross J.V.
(2017). Characterising pandemic severity and transmissibility from data collected during first few hundred studies.
Epidemics. 19, 61 - 73. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.004
Walker, J. N., Ross J.V., & Black A. J.
(2017). Inference of epidemiological parameters from household stratified data.
PLOS ONE. 12(10), e0185910. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0185910
Lydeamore, M., Bean N. G., Black A. J., & Ross J.V.
(2016). Choice of antiviral allocation scheme for pandemic influenza depends on strain transmissibility, delivery delay and stockpile size.
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 78(2), 293-321. doi: 10.1007/s11538-016-0144-6
Black, A. J., & Ross J.V.
(2015). Computation of epidemic final size distributions.
Journal of Theoretical Biology. 367, 159-165. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.11.029
Ross, J.V., & Black A. J.
(2015). Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak.
Mathematical Medicine and Biology. 32(3), 331-343. doi: 10.1093/imammb/dqu014
