How hard is it to predict a winner in the World Cup? And what chance does Australia really have in winning the World Cup? ACEMS' Adrian Barnett (QUT) and Scott Sission (UNSW) break it all down with some statistical analysis.
ACEMS Associate Investigator Adrian Barnett (QUT) takes you through a statistical breakdown of the 2018 World Cup. What are the chances of Australia winning? And how hard is it to predict a winner? He broke down his analysis in a story in The Conversation.
A man in France wins the lottery for the second time in just 18 months. ACEMS Chief Investigator Louise Ryan (UTS) breaks down the odds of that actually happening in this ABC News story.
Excerpt from article:
UTS Professor Louise Ryan from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical & Statistical Frontiers did a back-of-the-envelope calculation for us based on the report in Le Parisien that said the odds of winning the My Million lottery in any given week were one in 19 million.
Research studies, opinion polls and surveys all rely on asking a number of people about something to try to extract some pattern of behaviour or predict a result. But how many people do you need to ask for that finding to have any convincing meaning? ACEMS' Adrian Barnett (QUT) and Scott Sisson (UNSW) break down that question in this story in The Conversation.
While the science of flu forecasting is in its infancy, some say that just as we have weather maps that provide us with the probability of rain in our region, so one day flu maps could provide the probability of flu hitting a particular region.
In this article in the Australian Financial Review, ACEMS Associate Investigator Joshua Ross (The University of Adelaide) talks about the possibility, as well as his research to develop flu forecasting models.
Centre Research Fellow Dr Erin Peterson appeared on Scope TV to talk about the ACEMS project to use virtual reality to determine the public's perception about the health and beauty of the Great Barrier Reef
ACEMS Chief Investigator Louise Ryan authored a story in The Conversation about the upcoming postal plebiscite on marriage equality, and looked into the question of whether a national poll or sample survey is better to try to answer the questions surrounding this issue.
Recently, an Adelaide man set out to get into the Guinness World Records, by creating the world's largest free-floating soap bubble. To get him into the record book, though, Graeme Denton, aka Marty McBubble, would need someone to figure out just how big his bubble would be. So he turned to ACEMS Chief Investigator Matt Roughan from The University of Adelaide. Here is their story from ABC.